Heard on the Tom/Toms
Stephen Frank, Exclusive to the California Political News and Views, 12/15/23 www.capoliticalnewsandviews.com
Why California is Crazy—Believe One Thing/Votes Against Beliefs
PPIC did a major polling of Californians on candidates and issues. Buried deep in the poll is a listing of issues on policy and concerns. Read the responses carefully. It will explain why California is mismanaged, the people don’t like that—but then vote for those who mismanage the State into a collapse.
No need to explain the results, they speak for themselves. As we go into the 2024 campaign, we need to understand the minds of the voters.
The results of this poll are of 1,660 adult California residents, most of whom are registered voters. As of March 5th statewide there were 26.67 Million eligible voters, 22.11 Million registered voters (82.91% of eligible), 10.35 Million registered Democrats (46.82% of registered), 5.286 Million registered Republicans (23.90% of registered), 4.91 Million registered with no party preference (22.23% of registered), with the rest registered with 3rd Parties.
The survey was conducted in both English and Spanish. It was also concentrated in 5 regions (Central Valley, Inland Empire, Los Angeles County, Orange/San Diego Counties, and the San Francisco Bay Area) where approximately 90 percent of Californians live.
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Questions and Responses November 9–16, 2023 1,660 California adult residents
English, Spanish
4. Do you think things in California are generally going in the right direction or the wrong direction?
41% right direction
58% wrong direction
1% don’t know
5. Turning to economic conditions in California, do you think that during the next 12 months we will have good times financially or bad times?
33% good times
65% bad times
2% don’t know
7b. Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or Democratic Party? [Among Declined to State Voters]
16% Republican Party
31% Democratic Party
45% neither
8% don’t know
10a. [likely voters only] Thinking about the presidential election that will be held next November, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic?
47% more enthusiastic
52% less enthusiastic
1% don’t know
19. Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be [rotate top 1 to 5 and 5 to 1] [1] much stronger, [2] somewhat stronger, [3] about the same, [4] somewhat weaker, or [5] much weaker than it is now?
[rotate top to bottom and bottom to top; 1–5/5–1]
2% much stronger
11% somewhat stronger
46% about the same
27% somewhat weaker
12% much weaker
1% don’t know
21. Compared to six months ago, are you NOW [rotate] [1] more or [2] less comfortable making a major purchase, like a home or car?
25% more comfortable
74% less comfortable
1% don’t know
22. Compared to six months ago, are you NOW [rotate] [1] more or [2] less comfortable making other household purchases?
33% more comfortable
66% less comfortable
1% don’t know
51. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Joe Biden is handling his job as president of the United States?
47% approve
52% disapprove
1% don’t know
But when asked how they will vote?
10. [likely voters only] If the 2024 presidential election were being held today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?
54% Joe Biden
30% Donald Trump
9% someone else (please specify)
3% neither/would not vote for President (volunteered)
4% don’t know
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(Periodically the California Political News and Views will publish tidbits of political news, to keep you in the loop of what the pooh bahs know. The phrase “tom/tom’s” comes from my mentor, Lorelei Kinder who never passed a rumor, just called to tell me what she heard on the “TomTom’s”. This column is named in her honor.)
